The large quantity to recollect when wanting on the polls is that the Curtice projection for LAB to safe a majority is a 7% ballot lead over the Tories.
So that provides truthful quantity of a niche within the newest spherical of polling however, in fact, the five-week common election marketing campaign may change all of that. Simply bear in mind what occurred to TMay at GE2017.
However Labour doesn’t want an general majority for Starmer to grow to be PM. As on the very least, he wants the Tories to lose sufficient seats so they may not win a Commons confidence movement. My guess is about 45 losses ought to nearly do it.
Mike Smithson